Eight in Alabama, no 'Rachel'

Horseracing Betting Lines

08/19/2009 - Saratoga Springs, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Even though the three-year-old filly division has already been decided, eight sophomore females have been entered in Saturday's $600,000 Alabama Stakes at Saratoga Race Course. Division leader Rachel Alexandra is not one those slated to start and her next race is still unknown.

Coming down from Canada for the 1 1/4 mile Alabama is Milwaukee Appeal, winner of the Woodbine Oaks in Toronto. The daughter of two-time Santa Anita Handicap winner Milwaukee Brew will start from the outside post with John Velazquez getting the mount.

The filly is owned by C.E.C. Farms and trained by Scott Fairlie. Since beating fillies in the Oaks in June, Milwaukee Appeal has taken on the boys in the first two legs of the Canadian Triple Crown.

She was third to Eye of the Leopard in the Queen's Plate, beaten by just a neck. In the Prince of Wales at Fort Erie, Milwaukee Appeal was nosed out for the win by Gallant.

"She ran a great race," jockey Stewart Elliott said after the Queen's Plate. "She gave everything she had out there."

Milwaukee Appeal has won five of 11 career starts for $747,371. This year she has earned $568,276 with two wins in five starts.

Funny Moon, winner of the Coaching Club American Oaks, has drawn post three with Alan Garcia again in the saddle. The chestnut filly and Garcia have won four of six starts for $265,900, all this year.

Trained by Christophe Clement for Mrs. C. Wilson McNeely III, Funny Moon was a disappointing eighth in the Acorn Stakes in early June.

"It's still a bit of a puzzle why she ran the way she did in the Acorn," Clement noted following the American Oaks victory.

Delaware Oaks champ Careless Jewel will put her three race win streak on the line in the Alabama. The gray filly will be ridden by Robert Landry from post five.

Careless Jewel won the Delaware Oaks wire-to-wire as a 10-1 longshot. Owned by Donver Stable, the filly has won three of four starts for $222,846.

"Josie (trainer Josie Carroll) has a done tremendous job with this filly," Landry said about the three-year-old's conditioner.

Here is the complete field for the Alabama in post position order: Sweet and Flawless, Ramon Dominguez; Wynning Ride, Kent Desormeaux; Funny Moon, Alan Garcia; Don't Forget Gil, Rajiv Maragh; Careless Jewel, Robert Landry; Be Fair, Julien Leparoux; Casanova Move, Jose Lezcano and Milwaukee Appeal, John Velazquez.

The Alabama has a scheduled post-time of 5:47 P.M. (et).

Proud Spell, eventual three-year-old filly champion, won the 2008 Alabama Stakes.

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Eastern Conference Playoff Betting Trends

We all know by now that the “public” loves to put their money on the FAVORITES and the OVERS.  Just by taking a quick glance at Sportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends” it appears as is this tendency will continue as far as the Eastern Conference games are concerned.  For the inaugural games of the first round, 69% of the early money is on Toronto -4.5; 59% of bettors prefer Chicago -4.5; 84% are backing Detroit -9; and 56% think Cleveland -11.5 is the way to go.  As far as TOTALS are concerned, the only UNDER the “public” is backing is the Cleveland/ Washington game in which 83% are pounding the UNDER (190).  Remember, there is no better way to predict a possible line change than by monitoring MySportsbook.com’s “Betting Trends”.   By determining who the “public” is backing, you can get the most ideal line for your bet.  For example, if you are siding with the public you better place your bet before the line moves in the wrong direction.  On the other side of the coin, if you prefer the team that the “public” is betting against; you might be able to get and extra ½ or even more by placing your bet a bit later.  Under the “Betting Trends” section, Sportsbook.com also provides plenty of statistical data and trends in order for the bettor to make the most informed pick.  Below are some extremely important trends for the first round opponents of the Eastern Conference match-ups, more can be found at MySportsbook.com

New Jersey Nets vs. Toronto Raptors

Toronto was the most reliable covering team this season with a 48-33-1 ATS record but covered the OVER only 41.5% of the time.
The last 20 times these teams have played, the TOTAL has gone UNDER 16 times.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Toronto is 33-19 ATS including 17-9 at home.
 New Jersey has covered four games in a row while Toronto has failed to cover their last four games.
When playing a team with a winning record during the second half of the season, New Jersey was just 5-13 ATS this season.
After scoring 105 points or more, Toronto has covered the OVER only 28% of the time this season. 
 
Miami Heat @ Chicago Bulls

Miami has failed to cover their last 7 games whereas Chicago has covered 6 out of their last 8 games.
Miami has covered the UNDER in four of their last five games whereas Chicago has covered the UNDER in five out of their last six.
When playing on Saturdays, Miami covered 80% of their games this season.
Away from home, Chicago is just 16-25 ATS this season.
At home, Miami covered the UNDER about 66% of the time whereas Chicago covered the UNDER about 61% of the time.
The last 13 times these teams have played each other, Chicago has covered 9 times.
In Miami’s last 11 road games, the UNDER covered 9 times. 
 
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons

Detroit has covered 5 out of their last 6 games.
Away from home, Detroit is 28-13 ATS but just 14-26-1 ATS at home.
At home, Orlando covered the UNDER 64% of the time while Detroit covered the UNDER in 63% of their away games.
The last five times these teams have played in Detroit, the OVER covered each time.
Versus Eastern Conference teams, Detroit is 8-17-1 ATS at home but 17-9 ATS away.
Detroit covered the spread 5 out of the last 6 times they played Orlando.
After a Division game, Orlando covered the UNDER 87% of the time this season. 
 
Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers

In a home game where the TOTAL is between 190 and 194.5 points, Cleveland is 9-1 ATS this season.
Washington has covered the UNDER in their last 6 games and in 8 of their last 9 games.
The last 6 times these teams have played each other, the UNDER covered each time.
When playing on 3 or more days of rest, Washington is just 18-37 ATS since 1996.
Since 1996, Washington is 28-16 ATS versus Cleveland including 11-5 over the last 3 seasons.
In their last 7 road games, Washington is 6-1 ATS.
Versus Eastern Conference teams at home, Washington is just 6-18-2 ATS. 
 
For even more betting trends for not just the NBA but for all of the major sports, log on to Sportsbook.com and click on “Trends”.  With only two months left in the NBA betting season it is important to be as well informed as possible in order to maximize your profit.  Also for all of you poker players, check out MySportsbook.com’s “WSOP Low Bid Auction”. You could be on your way to Vegas to play against the world’s best poker players for under a buck.

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